Abby Bets, Year 4, Week 6

Rare is the Saturday that you take Vegas’ lunch money, but last weekend Abby did just that.

Rare was the steak that she bought and devoured enjoying her doggone good picking prowess.  That pushed her performance season to date to 18 wins and 11 losses, 28 bones won versus only 15 lost, and a still perfect 5-0 hunch bet result.

Even rarer would be doing it two weeks in a row.  Safety first is her motto this week as she doesn’t like chasing parked cars.

  1.  Arizona St -13 v Stanford and Washington St +3 1/2 v Oregon St. — Our west coast parlay pairs an odd couple.  Do the Sun Devils deserve to be favored by double digits over a team that beat Oregon last week? No.  Oregon St is playing solid football and has won four in a row.  Washington St?  Not so much. The west coast has a lot of odd couples.   One bone to win three bones.
  2.  Georgia at Auburn over 47 —  Georgia has not allowed a point in two straight weeks and only 23 in five games!  Auburn’s D bends but does not break.   Therefore, forty-seven seems high.  Both are due for a defensive letdown.  One bone.
  3.  LSU +3 1/2 at Kentucky Fire Ed Orgeron!  The offensive line is offensive!  The playcalling stinks!  Kentucky is undefeated.  They are at home.  They just whooped Florida.  This is their year.  You get the one-sided picture.  Abby loves a good zig when others zag as you may have heard before.  Two bones.
  4.  Wisconsin -11 at Illinois —  In most games, Wisconsin doesn’t even score 11 points.  But, Abby thinks the Badgers are angry and we know the Fighting Illini have little fight.  Two bones.
  5.  Oklahoma -3 1/2 v Texas — Two future SEC teams renew their annual Dallas dogfight.   The Longhorns have been playing better of late, while the Sooners have been stumbling around.  That trend reverses itself Saturday.  One bone.
  6.  Michigan at Nebraska +3 1/2 — These two fan bases have a love-hate relationship with their head coaches.  Harbaugh is going to hate it, and Frost is going to love it when Nebraska kicks a last-second field goal to win this one straight up. One bone.

Alabama takes their talents to College Station tomorrow to face a reeling Aggie group.  Abby sees a close Bama cover but likes the under 51 1/2 on a hunch.

Woof!!

 

 

 

 

Buy Today, Deliver Tonight

Those “come on” deals always sound so tempting.  You know the ones.

Buy this entire room of furniture today, have it delivered tonight with nothing down, no interest, and nothing to pay until…….

Until.  That’s the rub.  The bills always come due.  And, if you sell your soul to the devil(or Tony Soprano types) they never end.

Do take our word for it, ask POTUS.

He promised it all, or at least his team did, to the left of the left inside of the Democratic Party to get elected.  They wanted that room full of furniture.

So, they took to the streets, lit fires, threw rocks, looted, had mostly peaceful protests, told you that Black Lives Matter, wanted to defund the police for social justice, complained about the rich getting richer, needed tuition debt forgiven, wanted free preschool, and need to end this pesky climate change(hurricanes included) all to get Biden in office.  And it worked in record voting numbers we are told.

All of this unrest when unemployment was at record lows, the stock market was at record highs, interest rates were at record lows, companies building new in America were at record highs, illegal border crossings were at record lows.  We could go on.

But, the Trump world was a terrible one and we need to Build Back Better they said.  And, now the bills are due.

So, with one enormous spending bill followed by another, he’s attempting to pay off the debts of gratitude.  Like hurricanes, each bill had(Covid relief) or has(Infrastructure, Reconciliation) a name to remember it by.

But, a funny thing happened these last several weeks.  Controlling the House, the Senate, and the White House the party in power can’t agree on how much, how fast, when, where, and why.

The further left you are, the more you “need” for all of the minions that elect and reelect and reelect you.

The furniture hasn’t even been delivered yet.  Yet, Bernie Sanders wants to remodel and nearly double the size of the room (5 tril he says).  AOC scoffed at 3.5 tril on the Reconciliation Bill sarcastically asking if this was rent to own by month money.  Nancy Pelosi wants until the end of October to appoint the joint.  She’s trying to get the kids to agree on adding the love seat and dropping out the recliner.

And two Senators (Manchin and Sinema)aren’t sure if we need all of this new free stuff.

One of them, Sinema, made the mistake of getting up from the sofa and heading to the bathroom where she was accosted by malcontents likely hired to act like imbeciles.

Biden said yesterday that all of this stalling was the Republican’s fault. He really did.  He also said that he needed them to get out of the way as our nation’s economy was at stake over this.  He actually may be so wrong about the economy that he is right.

With gas prices at seven-year highs, supply chain issues across numerous industries, food prices skyrocketing, labor shortages everywhere, and the Fed carefully considering when(not if) to raise interest rates perhaps the last thing we need to do is print more money to create more demand and higher costs of living.

At least soon enough we’ll be able to forget about these squabbles over money we don’t have and buy some Christmas presents for our loved ones with money that we don’t have.

On Monday Dr. Fauci said we could have Christmas celebrations this year.  That was a relief because on one of Sunday’s morning shows he said it was too soon to tell if we could gather with our loved ones.

He also said that his comments were taken out of context. His problem is a lot like Urban Meyer’s problem.  Roll the videos.  But, we digress.

For now, the conservatives can tell the woke that we are going broke and the woke can tell the conservatives that our country is broken.

Buy today and we’ll deliver tonight!

 

 

 

Ten Piece Nuggets-NCAA Football

If you’ve never been to the Flora-Bama bar, you should put it on your bucket list.  No really.  Bama has the best team football team in the world and 1/2 of the best bar in the world as well.  It sits 1/2 in Florida and 1/2 in Bama, right on the state line, fifty yards from the Gulf of Mexico.

  1. Do you think that Nick Saban coach of the best football team in the world stewed for the last 12 months that his former OC, and chief needler,  Lane Kiffen put 617 yards of offense on Saban’s pride and joy defense last year?  Saban gets mad and gets even.
  2. Speaking of defense, Georgia hasn’t allowed a single point in its last eight quarters of SEC play, pitching two shutouts in a row over hapless Vanderbilt and upstart Arkansas.  Four Georgia running backs rushed for 87, 68, 57, and 48 yards.  Deep bench.  Oh, and the O scored 99 points total in those same two games.
  3. Should we pronounce the winner of the SEC Championship game the national champ?  Probably.  Raise your hand if you don’t think the game will pit Bama versus Georgia? Saban’s win makes him 23 and 0 against his former assistant coaches.  Could Kirby Smart outsmart Saban in December to make it 23-1?  Are we getting ahead of ourselves?   Saban would say yes.  We’d say no.
  4.  But, the BIG 10 asks, “what about us?”  Iowa owned Maryland(51-14) on Friday and Penn St owned Indiana(24-0) on Saturday to check in at numbers 3 and 4 respectively in the AP top 25.  They’ll meet Saturday on the field near the cornfields in Iowa City.
  5.  That matchup will feature two top 5 BIG 10 teams for the first time since 1997 that one of them isn’t named THE Ohio St University.  Both Iowa and Penn State have beaten two ranked opponents already.  So this game is going to have a significant impact one way or another as one of them makes it three.
  6.  But, the Cincinnati Bearcats ask, “what about us?”  Cincy checks in proudly at #6 after going into South Bend and bouncing the Irish 24-13.  Cincinnati’s defense isn’t Georgia ferocious, but it’s mighty strong.  The Bearcats showed against ND they can perform on big stages. They have only one marginally ranked (24 SMU) left on their schedule.  Is that good or bad for them?  It depends on how the others ahead and slightly behind them play out.
  7.  And, 5-0 Oklahoma wants to make their way into the big boy talk.  At seven they’ll get a chance to pad their resume, as the winners of 13 straight are headed to Dallas to face # 21 Texas in the Red River Shootout next Saturday.
  8. Who is still undefeated besides all of the above-mentioned?  If you guessed Michigan, Michigan St., Coastal Carolina, Kentucky, Wake Forest, Oklahoma St., SMU, and San Diego St. you’re watching way too much football on Saturdays.
  9. That thud you heard late Saturday night was previously undefeated and now # 8 Oregon laying a big duck egg v Stanford. Arizona St is the only other PAC12 ranked team.  Oregon’s body of work includes a fine win at THE, so they’ll stay in the conversation for now.  But the PAC 12 playoff conversation is hanging on by a thread until something or things really shake up the standings.
  10. Although it could have been a reverberation from College Station where preseason #7 Texas A&M dropped out of the top 25 with a certified stinker of a loss to Mississippi St after losing to Arkansas the week before.  Jimbo’s contract was extended and guaranteed before the season started. The extension will increase his salary to $9 million on Jan. 1 and $9.15 million on Jan. 1, 2023.  After that, his salary will increase by $100,000 each year through 2031.  That’s good work if you can get it.  A&M has opened as an 18 point dog to Bama this week.
  11. (Lagniappe) Iowa is favored by 3 over Penn St., as is Michigan at Nebraska, as is Oklahoma v Texas in The Red River Shootout that you can’t call The Red River Shootout anymore.

Out.

Abby Picks, Year 4, Week 5

As Wall St pundits preach, “pigs get fat, but hogs get slaughtered.”

Last week, Abby felt queasy about the games and lines and stayed conservative.  The strategy paid as the bleeding was minimal and required only a small bandaid.  Therefore, through four weeks the tale (tail) of the dog is 12-9 won/lost, 19-10 bones won/lost, and the hunch bet extended its winning streak to 4-0!

The matchups and the spreads get more interesting this week as key conference matchups abound.

  1.  Arkansas at Georgia -18 — Speaking of hogs, Arkansas gets slaughtered this week.  Why?  Three reasons.  One, it makes no sense that they are underdogs to the Bulldogs by 18, so they will.  Two, Georgia is elite.  Three, Abby loves UGA the Bulldog mascot.  Two bones.
  2.  Houston +5 at Tulsa —  Abby loves to spot (not the dog) a team that she feels is a live underdog to win straight up.  One bone.
  3.  USC -7 1/2 at Colorado —  Does USC deserve to be favored over anyone by a touchdown or so on the road?  No.  Vegas knows something.  Abby knows when Vegas is trying to buffalo (see what she did there?) the betting public.  Two bones.
  4.  Washington at Oregon St -2 1/2–  Who are these guys behind the dark visors?  Quick, name one Beaver?  Thought so.  They play hard for four quarters, Washington sometimes does not.  One bone.
  5.  Ole Miss +14 1/2 and under 79 1/2 at Alabama —  Vegas has both the points and the total set way high to try to drum up some Rebels and under action. Abby will bite on the bait. Can Mississippi stay within two touchdowns vs. Goliath?  Can the scoreboard operator keep up with this offensive explosion?  “Yes and yes,” she barks.  One bone on Ole Miss and two on under.
  6.  Baylor at Oklahoma St. -3 — Baylor is getting better but on the road.  Oklahoma St is getting better and is home.  One bone.
  7.  Miss St. at Texas A&M -7 — Another Bulldog, this one from Starkville, travels to College Station.  Abby expects A&M to bounce back strong.  Two bones.

Auburn visits a rainy Death Valley Saturday night.  LSU can’t run the ball and Auburn can’t pass the ball.  Abby expects both Tiger teams to force the action on D.  On a hunch take under 56 on the total.

Seven games, eight bets, twelve bones, and a strong hunch.

Woof!

 

 

 

Ten Piece Nuggets-Life and Sports

BBR’s fall Board of Directors meeting starts tomorrow in an undisclosed location in the Deep South.  This AM we are emptying our files, folders, creatives, thoughts, and tidbits to provide ten very random nuggets.

We’ll likely be dark until Friday when Abby gives us the weekend’s winners.

Business meetings aside, beaches, booze, and ball games beckon.  After all, someone once said all work and no play makes Jack a dull boy.  Who is this Jack person?

  1.  NFL Baltimore Ravens kicker Justin Tucker’s 66 yards long, best-ever field goal beat the Detroit Lions 19-17 yesterday at the game’s end.  It bounced on and then over the crossbar.  The 19-17 final is the same score that the Saints beat the Lions on a 63 yarder at the game’s end by Tom Dempsey 51 years ago.  The Ravens overcame a fourth and nineteen on the last drive to get in range.  They also avoided a blatant delay of game penalty.   Detroit losses in “oh so Detroit” fashion once again.
  2. Aaron Rodgers needed a mere 37 seconds to brilliantly drive the Packers to a final game-winning field goal as well.  After the ugly loss to the New Orleans Saints to open the season, Rodgers has thrown six touchdowns without an interception over the past two weeks.  A few years back he asked everyone to relax after a mid-season loss.  He even spelled it out for reporters. R-E-L-A-X!  In today’s world of instant overreaction, fueled by social media, we forgot to learn that lesson yet again.
  3.  The Raiders, Broncos, Panthers, Rams, and Cardinals are the lone undefeated teams after three weeks.  If you picked that three weeks ago you are one smart, or very very lucky, individual.  The Tampa Bay Bucs lost to those Rams late yesterday breaking a 10 game winning streak.
  4.  “Da Bears” invested the second pick overall last April in Justin Fields and yesterday decided to make him their starting QB.   He was sacked nine times while only throwing six completions versus the Browns for a putrid 68 yards.  Three games in the Bears are 1-2 and have scored a total of 40 points.  Can Head Coach Matt Nagy survive the season?  Doubtful.
  5. That thud that woke you up Saturday night was Clemson dropping to #25 in the AP Top 25 after its second loss of the early season.  North Carolina St. did the deed after Georgia held Clemson to three in the Labor Day weekend opening loss.  Clemson is still ranked, but on reputation only.  The reverberation that you felt was Arkansas pushing Texas A&M around.  A&M fell from too high #7 to #15.
  6. If you haven’t watched the Hogs play, you’re missing the best story of the football year.  Sam Pittman and his fine staff have the Razorbacks at 4-0 and ranked #8. They come at you for 60 minutes and from every angle.  They’ve beaten Rice, Texas, and Texas A&M all thoroughly along the way.  Maybe Friday Night Lights should be filmed in a different state?
  7. Let the annual debate of “does Notre Dame belong in the playoffs” begin.  They started the season slowly but are 4-0.  They started the game in Soldier Field slowly too, but closed strong, beating Wisconsin 41-13.  The Badgers scored a total of 23 against Penn St and ND in two early-season losses against quality opponents.
  8.  Turning to the world that we live in, guess which US state has the highest rate of new infections from the coronavirus?  Alaska.  Cases there have ratcheted up while the south seems to be past the latest peak.  So much for social distancing helping out.  And, you can read all of the state-by-state infection rate blame game info that you want.  The virus doesn’t see, know, or care about state borders.
  9. In fact, it doesn’t care about which country it is in either.  Norway joined Sweden and Denmark in removing all restrictions.  “It has been 561 days since we introduced the toughest measures in Norway in peacetime,” Prime Minister Erna Solberg said in a Friday news conference. “Now the time has come to return to a normal daily life.”  561 days.  What happened to two weeks to flatten the curve?
  10.  Where’s Brian Laundrie?  “No buzzards, no body,” says Florida cattle rancher Alan McEwen.  He has spent nearly every day of the last 30 years navigating the woods where Brian Laundrie is suspected of hiding and says it’s not conducive to habitation.  “There’s no surviving out here, I don’t know how to say it,” he continued.  Did Laundrie’s parents give the FBI and local officials a head fake when they retrieved the car from the entry point to his hiking in the preserve?  You have to think so.  Laundrie is either alligator food or never was hiding in the swamp.  A really sad story has turned beyond bizarre.

Abby Picks, Year 4, Week 4

  1. Faithful reader number one, after reviewing Abby’s picks last Saturday night, suggested that Abby take a bow.  Bow? Wow!  Faithful reader number two suggested that a steak was in order over the normal chow.  Wow.

As Judge Smails famously told his grandson, Spaulding in Caddyshack, “you’ll get nothing and like it.” Three weeks does not make a season.  But it is a good start.  With ten wins and six losses, sixteen bones won v six lost, and the hunch bet advancing to 3-0, it’s time for week four.

  1.  Wisconsin -6 v Notre Dame —  Soldier Field is the awesome setting for this early fall midwest scrum.  Abby is so mystified by this line that she’s going 100% against her thought.  That thought is that the wrong team is favored.  One bone.
  2.  Miami OH at Army -7 —  Can the Army make it four in a row versus the spread?  They’ll give it a go.  One bone.
  3.  Florida International at Central Michigan -11 — Cent Mich ran into an angry LSU team last week.  Two weeks ago they nearly beat Missouri.  Abby expects a rebound. Two bones.
  4.  Texas Tech at Texas -8 — The much-maligned Longhorns begin what might be their final stroll through the BIG 12.  They might start slow, but talent will take over in the second half.  Two bones.
  5.  Nebraska at Michigan St. -5 — Michigan St. might well be the best team in Michigan.  Is this the year they bust through and be the best team in the BIG 10 East?  Doubtful, but if they want to they need to take care of an average foe in the Cornhuskers first.  One bone.

Five home chalks get picked by a dog that likes underdogs!

Texas A&M might have their hands full in Arlington this weekend v a surging Arkansas program.  This is strength v strength.  The Ark O line v the A&M D line.  Abby, on a hunch, likes under 47.

Woof!

If A Tree Falls…

Unless you live under a rock you know that 10-15k Haitian migrants have been living under a bridge on the border in Del Rio, TX for about 10 days and counting.

What you may not know is that in mid-sentence of answering a question yesterday (presumably about Ireland), UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson was cut off by a White House staff that ushered all UK and US reporters out of the room.

This was only one and one-half answer in for the Prime Minister, and after President Joe Biden had answered “good luck” to Johnson when he first suggested that the two begin taking questions.  Biden and Boris watched the herding out of the reporters with the look of second-graders when first introduced to long division.  There sat Plugs and Shag Rugs.

The migrants’ ten-day fiasco and the three-minutes and halted Q and A have much in common.   They are both unfortunate examples of the Biden Administration’s over-the-top, incessant attempt to control the content, its narrative, as well as Biden’s exposure to the press to account for any and all things pertinent to running this country.

Consider the following.

  1. None of the Haitians are directly from Haiti, hence the term migrants, not refugees.  Every single one interviewed thus far stated that they have been living in Brazil, Mexico, or in one of a few Central American countries.  They’re claiming refugee status in light of the recent events in Haiti as a cover for entry.  Biden kicked that door wide open months back.
  2. The Del Rio crossing as well as other entry points across the Rio Grande have gone unmanned in recent weeks.  The Biden team told the Border Patrol to stand down entirely.  Open borders it is.
  3. It is believed that Haitian’s are only 3% vaccinated.  Americans can’t walk into restaurants without one or two jabs, but it’s no problem for entry via our borders.
  4. On Sunday talk shows DHS and ICE leaders told America that everyone was going to get a one-way ticket back to Haiti.  Crisis solved. Nothing to see here.  Never mind that they don’t live there anymore.  Also, as of yesterday, only about 300 have been flown back. Over 1000 have caught buses bound to who knows where in the US sans any documentation.  And, most of all, estimates range from 10k to 30k people caravans of additional migrants headed to Del Rio from all parts south.
  5. The FAA over the weekend prohibited Fox News from flying drones over the site.  If you can’t see the crisis is there a crisis?  Other networks finally started covering the mess days later.  If a tree falls in the forest and no one hears it, is it sound?  Yesterday, the FAA relented.
  6.  Politicians and left-wing media types spent the last 48 hours comparing pictures of border patrol officers “whipping” Haitians to slavery, systemic racism, 100 years ago, etc.  The incensed officers pushed back yesterday saying no one was hit, the whips were actually horse reins and are swung for the horse to see to control their movements in crowds.   Doesn’t the Biden team control the border patrol?  They stood down two weeks ago when asked.
  7. Seldom seen Border Czar Comma La Harris called the images “very disturbing.”  CNN shrill Chris Cuomo compared the horse scene to the aforementioned slavery.  Cuomo may have a bit of a horse face, but his familiarity with equines likely stops there.  Forget the illegality of the crossing, the terrible conditions, the heat.  Forget the green card.  Play the race card.
  8.  Texas Governor Abbott yesterday finally put a halt to the unfettered crossings with Texas Ranger vehicles blocking the way.  He did what the federal government paid lip service to.  Somehow, he’ll be the bad guy now.  Isn’t that what the left wants anyway?

Walking out of the UN Council yesterday morning a masked Biden was asked what he was going to do about the “out of control border crisis.”  He answered simply, “we’ll get it under control.”  That’s it on day ten of this mess, five words.

The administration must be proud.  Plan executed.  You know, less is more.

Oh, and he must have been following the science wearing the mask.  Remember, he said sternly two weeks back that we need to protect the vaccinated from the unvaccinated.  Haitians aside we presume.

 

 

Ten Piece Nuggets-NCAA Football

Three quick weeks in we’ve hit the quarter pole in a twelve-game schedule.  What do we make of the action thus far? It’s interesting as always, but conference play starts this week and we’ll be a lot smarter because of it soon.   Get your nuggets below.

  1.  ESPN ran this Sunday AM headline, “Bama Looks Beatable!”  Perhaps.  Another way to describe their 31-29 win over a well-coached Florida team in The Swamp would be: True sophomore Bryce Young, making his third start ever, led Bama into the hostile Swamp, scored 31 against a good defense that anchors the #11 ranked team in America, and won.  Saban has raised the bar so high that our perspective and ESPN’s headlines are jaundiced.
  2.  Georgia held on to the second spot working the not-so-game SC Gamecocks, 40-13.  That Oct 30th largest outdoor cocktail party that we don’t call the largest outdoor cocktail party anymore between the Gators and the Bulldogs should be quite the alcohol-fueled duel.  The Bulldogs will be glad they are hosting very pesky Arkansas and Kentucky prior and not traveling to play them before the first fan bellies up on Halloween weekend. The pollsters left Florida at #11, deservedly so, after the 2 point loss.
  3. Oregon took the week off after beating THE in the Shoe.  Well, not really.  They beat Stoney Brook 48-7 in the northwest rain.  After a 75 yard drive to start the game, the Ducks held SB to only 169 yards of offense for the remainder of the game with subs waddling in liberally.  The difference between Oregon and the rest of the PAC 12 is that they play legit D.
  4.  The BIG 10 wants in on the fun as well.   Iowa, yes Iowa, is now #5, Penn St. is #6 and THE OSU is #10.  They’re celebrating the 30 points that the Hawkeyes put up on Kent St. Saturday like it’s a corn crop safely in the silo.  Iowa has no O, but it has a playoff quality D.  Penn St. now has a single-digit win over Wisconsin(there) and Auburn(home) as two solid resume builders. That white-out scene in Happy Valley is quite the sight.
  5. It wasn’t pretty, but now #6 Cincinnati stayed undefeated after beating a good Big Ten team 38-24 on the road.  Indiana kept it close for a while. The Bearcats strategically scheduled no one this week to build up to a trip to South Bend next week.   An impressive win there would put Cincinnatti in the playoff conversation.  Though after ND, they play no one ranked in the top 25 as of now.
  6.  Texas A&M (7), Ole Miss (13), and Arkansas (16) give the SEC West four teams ranked in the top 16.  Florida kept it close with the juggernaut known as Bama.  Can any of these three shoot the moon, er, Bama? The best chance is three weeks away in College Station it seems.
  7. But, A&M needs to be focused this week on the opponent at hand-Arkansas in Fayetteville.  Sam Pittman has done quite a job resurrecting the Hogs.  The Razorbacks had one lonely win v 23 losses in SEC play from 2017-19 before Pittman took the steering wheel in 2020. There were a few chuckles when he was announced as the next pig expected to get smoked at the luau.  No more.   Whooo Pig!  The Aggies are an early six-point favorite on the road.
  8.  The BIG 12 has Oklahoma at #8 and Kansas St. #25.  Where’s the beef? It’s lean in cattle country.  Oklahoma’s win 23-16 over Nebraska wasn’t exactly what the Sooners needed to push higher.
  9. Life is good in Provo. Coming off last year’s 11-1 season, the BYU Cougars have secured a membership in the Big 12.   Now, BYU sits proudly at #15.  They’ve beaten three PAC 12 schools in three weeks.  Arizona, Utah, and Arizona St. are all early 2021 skins on the Cougars wall. Arizona St. had a chance to raise their profile and the PAC 12 South’s a bit on Saturday but wasn’t quite ready for primetime.  The other shoe dropped when UCLA gave up 75 yards in 6 plays in only 40 seconds and lost at the buzzer 40-37 to Fresno St.  UCLA dropped to #24 in the process.  In the PAC 12, it’s Oregon, and pray for rain.  Wait!
  10. Some eyebrow-raising early lines are out.  Wisconsin is a 5 1/2 point favorite over Notre Dame in Soldier Field.  Florida St is just a 2 1/2 point home dog to Louisville.  Memphis beat Moo St. Saturday but are only an at-home 3 1/2 point pick over UTSA.  And Michigan St is a slim 4 1/2 point home choice over Nebraska.

 

Abby Picks, Year 4, Week 3

Sometimes the tail wags the dog.  Not this dog.  Abby Roux is riding the wave.  Four total points stood between her and a perfect week two.  So it goes.  She’ll gladly take it.

The results in week two were identical to week one.  That brings the season totals to six wins v four losses, ten delicious bones won v six lost, and the hunch bet is two and oh so fine.

Week three seems tricky.  Picks follow.

  1.  Michigan St +6 1/2 at Miami —  Something about this line troubles Abby greatly.  Is the wrong team favored?  She hopes.  It’s a bit more humid in Coral Gables than in East Lansing this time of the year.  That said, take the Spartans plus six and a half for one bone and straight-up(+190) for one bone wagered to win two.
  2. Mississippi St. at Memphis +3 1/2 —  Is the wrong team favored, part two? This is the beginning of the end for Mike Leach.   The money line isn’t great, so one bone on the plus.
  3. Central Michigan at LSU -19 1/2 —  Hopefully the wrong team isn’t favored here.  LSU has done nothing in two games to inspire any confidence much less be favored by this much over a high school team.  Did we mention that Abby likes to zig when others zag?  Two bones.
  4. Arizona St – 3 1/2 at BYU —  The Sun Devils historically trip over their pitchforks in a spot like this. Herm Edwards is in year four in Tempe.  UCLA in week one, and Oregon in week two got big out of conference wins for the PAC 12.  Ariz St. does as well in week three.  One bone.
  5. Florida St +4 1/2 at Wake Forest — Nobody circles the wagons like the Seminoles, do they?  They’ll need to after a devastating loss last week to Jacksonville St.  Wall Street calls this a dead cat bounce.  Abby hates cats, so she approves of this Wall Street metaphor.  One bone.

Alabama, favored by 14 1/2, travels to Gainsville to beat Florida this Saturday.  The over/under is 60 and 1/2.  Abby thinks Bama’s D will come to play.  On a hunch, she’ll take the under.

Woof!

 

A Not So Hairy Recall.

In the 19th-century election ballots were counted by hand. Usually, when the count was first announced, the customary crowd of people that gathered to await the results cheered loudly. Oftentimes, this was a preliminary indication of who would win the election, hence the expression, all over but the shouting.

In California last evening it was over without any shouting.  And, in fact, the recall Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom election ballot was over before it started. BBR’s best guess is that the final tally will be at least 60% against combing back Gavin like his hair to under 40% in favor of a new dude with a new do.  That’s not close, and it never was.

Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by nearly a 2-1 margin these days in the Golden State.  With nearly 40 million residents it’s not too hard to get 1.5 million to sign a recall petition, but it’s really hard to get 51% of a vote when the sitting governor “identifies” the same as 67% of the state’s citizens.

“We said yes to science. We said yes to vaccines. We said yes to ending this pandemic,” said Newsom.  He controls none of that, but never mind.  “Economic justice, social justice, racial justice, environmental justice are values where California has made so much progress.   All of those things were on the ballot this evening,” he added.  That’s a lot of justice.  It makes you wonder why Cali is losing a congressional seat due to an accelerating population reduction even with immigration flowing in.

This brings us to a bevy of questions.  One, did Cali vote against Larry Elders (or anyone not deemed Progressive) or for Gavin Newsom?  Two, did America vote more against Donald Trump or for Joe Biden? If you say you voted for Biden and not against Trump, get some truth serum in your next booster vaccine, please. Three, did America vote against Hillary Clinton more than for Donald Trump?  Likely.  We could continue.

This brings us very prematurely to 2024.   Can America find a candidate that the very polarized public can get behind from both sides?  We HIGHLY doubt it.  The entirety of the process, more than ever before, sets up against it.  Lobbyists, big donor money, PACs, two-party dominance, fractured feelings, and several other major factors all set up against it.

America sees things more black and white than ever before and we aren’t talking about race.  Though, playing the race card is still a, ahem, trump card.  Either you’re with us or you’re against us.  Hatfields and McCoys.  Cowboys and Indians, though you can’t say Indians any longer.  Good cop, no cop.

Hey, how about Rand Paul?

Have you ever listened in detail to his orations?  He identifies as a Republican, but he’s plenty Libertarian.

Yesterday, without malice he took Secretary of State Antony Blinken apart limb by limb over what we did and didn’t do in Afghanistan, knew and didn’t, and what we are going to do, or not about it now.  Like Paul himself, it was a poised, unemotional, educated, evenhanded, intelligent drive down the middle lane.

Unelectable you say?  We agree.  Paul favors a balanced budget, not a ballooning deficit.  Strike one.  He favors independence over dependence on government.  Strike two.   And, three, his hair game ends where Gavin’s begins.  Strike three, you’re out!

Logic is as out of style as a perm on the national scene.  Emotion is all the craze.

Meanwhile back in Cali, Newsom can again dare to depart for the maskless, crazy expensive dinners that he doesn’t dare part his hair for.

After all, a part divides.

Slick.