Above the fold
Full Tilt
Is it safe to say that three of the top 6-8 quarterbacks in the NFL are in the conference championship games this weekend?
We’re talking about Hurts, Burrow, and Mahomes of course. Purdy has been a pretty good surprise, but the resume is quite light at this point.
That the AFC has two great QBs in the final two while the NFC has only one is no surprise either. When you run down from great to not so regardless of the conference affiliation you’ll find that the AFC is stacked and the NFC is wanting.
Mahomes, Burrow, Allen, Jackson, and Herbert are a strong top five for the AFC. Throw in Lawrence, Tagovailoa, Watson, Jones, and Pickett as emerging upside types and the top ten is relatively equally as impressive.
Notice that absent from this AFC list are Wilson and Carr.
Wilson is a Super Bowl winner and a nine-time Pro Bowl selection who has thrown for over 40k yards. He had a bad year and might be past his prime and then some, however.
Carr is a three-time Pro Bowler and amassed 35k passing yards. He’s done being a Raider and might be headed to the NFC.
Ah, the NFC.
Any NFC list would start with Brady and Rodgers arguably the two best in the last 15 years regardless of the conference (sorry Drew Brees).
But, is Brady done with football? Is Rodgers done with Green Bay? Is Green Bay done with Rodgers? Let’s go with no, yes, and yes for the sake of the following argument.
What if Brady replaced Carr in Vegas? Whether you view Brady’s glass as half empty or half full it’s still better than half of the quarterbacks in the entire league.
What if Rodgers went to, say, the New York J-E-T-S? Jets, Jets, Jets. He’s still easily a top-ten NFL quarterback.
Those what if’s would tilt the AFC position of dominance at the most important position in football to an unprecedented level.
Compare all of the above to the NFC’s Hurts, Prescott, Cousins, Stafford, and Jones and you’ll see the tilt lite light up like the old 1970s pinball machines.
Throw in the next five who throw for NFC teams. Goff, Wilson, Murray, Marietta, and, well, and, umm Geno Smith? Jeez.
If you want to jump deeper into the imbalance fast forward to the NFL Draft this Spring. The Houston Texans and the Indianapolis Colts, both AFC teams with picks # 2 and #4 respectively, will almost certainly draft high Round One QBs.
Bryce Young and CJ Stoud very likely will hear Roger Goodell announce that their immediate future will be in the AFC.
Super Bowls are won far more often with great quarterbacking than with complimentary quarterbacking.
The AFC is loaded with “win because of’s.” The NFC is loaded with “win with and win in spite of’s.”
Jalen Hurts and Philly might put a hurting on the AFC in a few weeks.
After that, it looks like the AFC will put a hurting on the NFC for a few years.